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The 21st Century Singularity and Global Futures

Part of the World-Systems Evolution and Global Futures Book Series

Editors: Korotayev, Andrey V.; LePoire, David J.

DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-33730-8

ISBN: 978-3-030-33729-2

Publisher: Springer International Publishing - Springer Journals

Jan 3, 2020

1 - 10 of 27 Chapters

Available

The Twenty-First-Century Singularity in the Big History Perspective: An Overview

Panov, Alexander; LePoire, David J.; Korotayev, Andrey V.

Pages: 1 –18

[This introductory chapter discusses the overall place of the twenty-first-century Singularity within the overall Big History. It is shown that to place the accelerating trend of complexity in the context of Big History, we need to distinguish the two forms (arms) of megaevolution so far in the...
Available

The Twenty-First-Century Singularity in the Big History Perspective—A Re-analysis

Korotayev, Andrey V.

Pages: 19 –75

[The idea that in the near future we should expect “the Singularity” has become quite popular recently, primarily thanks to the activities of Google technical director in the field of machine training Raymond Kurzweil and his book The Singularity Is Near (2005). It is shown that the mathematical...
Available

Exploring the Singularity Concept Within Big History

LePoire, David J.

Pages: 77 –97

[The trend of life’s accelerating increase in complexity throughout its history on Earth suggests that a unique time (a unique or singular event, i.e., the singularity) might be realized soon. At this unique time, the growth trend might display unusual behavior. Debate continues whether the rate...
Available

Forecasting the Growth of Complexity and Change—An Update

Modis, Theodore

Pages: 101 –104

[In 2002, Modis published an article forecasting that the rate of change in our lives was about to stop accelerating and indeed begin decelerating. Today, with twenty years’ worth more data, Modis revisits those forecasts. He points outs that an exponential trend would have predicted the...
Available

Hyperbolic Evolution from Biosphere to Technosphere

Fomin, Alexey

Pages: 105 –118

[This chapter confirms that the pattern of hyperbolic growth (characterized by a clear mathematical singularity) is not a phenomenon of human population growth only. It is shown that this growth pattern has very deep evolutionary roots which began, at least, from the origin of life. In the case...
Available

Big History and Singularity as Metaphors, Hypotheses, and Predictions

Tsirel, Sergey

Pages: 119 –144

[The main topics of this chapter are the (1) correlations between geological, biological, and social evolution, (2) the reality of accelerating evolutionary processes, as well as (3) the possibility of combining them into an integrated sequence tending to the point of singularity. It is...
Available

Big History Trends in Information Processes

Solis, Ken; LePoire, David J.

Pages: 145 –161

[The encoding, transmission, processing, and other aspects of information have changed throughout Big History and especially on the planet Earth. Beginning ~15 billion years ago, information was manifested and communicated via the fundamental forces and particles described by physics. When life...
Available

Plurality: The End of Singularity?

Plebe, Alessio; Perconti, Pietro

Pages: 163 –184

[Singularity is a very intriguing future scenario to fantasticate upon, but it is even a quite controversial theoretical issue. Turning back to our previous (Plebe and Perconti 2013) skepticism about the singularity hypothesis, based on an alternative slowdown hypothesis for artificial...
Available

Energy Flow Trends in Big History

LePoire, David J.; Chandrankunnel, Mathew

Pages: 185 –200

[Energy flow is a major necessary component driving evolution of living system (along with information processes, organization, and entropy management). Energy flow is defined as the rate of energy use, after thermal heat losses are considered, i.e., free-energy power. Chaisson identified the...
Available

The Deductive Approach to Big History’s Singularity

Grinchenko, Sergey; Shchapova, Yulia L.

Pages: 201 –210

[Traditional ideas about the singularity of human civilizational development are based on the extrapolation of empirical data (inductive approach). Since a mathematical singularity is just a special point of a function, it is not necessarily associated with an infinite increase at the point. This...

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