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Consensus among experts in the technological forecasting by the Delphi method is here shown to be interpretable as a leading indicator or rather an antecedent factor of a national consensus and therefore as an intersubjective probability of choosing a particular policy among prospective policies...
The use of penalty marks in competitive examinations is discussed, using two new indices called gap coefficient and inversion rate, which are evaluated under certain assumptions on the distribution of the true scores. Although some assumptions are rather arbitrary, it is shown at least that in...
This paper develops Bayesian Statistical Procedures for problems in the “Errors-in-the-Variables” Model. First, we derived the exact marginal posterior distribution for the regression coefficients in the model, and suggested an approximation to the exact pdf. Secondly, we derived the optimal...
A method of sensitivity analysis is proposed to detect the influential observations in Hayashi’s third method of quantification (Hayashi, 1956). It evaluates the changes of the eigenvalues and the scores assigned to the categories and/or individuals due to a small change of the weights for a...
This paper shows how one can measure the overall efficiency of organizational decision -making to yield maximum organizational outputs under many constraints of economic, political and institutional variables. The case study taken in this paper includes Japan’s three public corporations, namely,...
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