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Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A (Statistics in Society)

Subject Areas: Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty
ISSN: 0964-1998
SJR: 86

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Journal Article

David (Tim) Holt 1943–2022

2023 Journal of the Royal Statistical Society – Series A: Statistics in Society

doi:10.1093/jrsssa/qnac016

Tim Holt, who has died aged 79, was the first Director of the Office for National Statistics (ONS), President of the Society from 2005 to 2007 and one of the leading survey methodologists of his generation. Following a long career at the University of Southampton he was appointed, in 1995, to be...
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Journal Article

Bayesian multistate modelling of incomplete chronic disease burden data

Jackson, Christopher; Zapata-Diomedi, Belen; Woodcock, James

2023 Journal of the Royal Statistical Society – Series A: Statistics in Society

doi:10.1093/jrsssa/qnac015 pmid:36883132

Abstract The ‘multistate lifetable’ is a widely used model for the long-term health impacts of public health interventions. It requires estimates of the incidence, case fatality, and sometimes also remission rates, for multiple diseases by age and gender. The case fatality is the rate of death...
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Journal Article

Model-based clustering for multidimensional social networks

D’Angelo, Silvia; Alfò, Marco; Fop, Michael

2023 Journal of the Royal Statistical Society – Series A: Statistics in Society

doi:10.1093/jrsssa/qnac011

Abstract Social network data are relational data recorded among a group of actors, interacting in different contexts. Often, the same set of actors can be characterised by multiple social relations, captured by a multidimensional network. A common situation is that of colleagues working in the...
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Journal Article

A Bayesian decision support system for counteracting activities of terrorist groups

Shenvi, Aditi; Bunnin, Francis Oliver; Smith, Jim Q

2023 Journal of the Royal Statistical Society – Series A: Statistics in Society

doi:10.1093/jrsssa/qnac019

Abstract We present an integrating decision support system designed to aid security analysts’ monitoring of terrorist groups. The system comprises of (i) a dynamic network model of the level of bilateral communications between individuals and (ii) dynamic graphical models of those individual’s...
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Journal Article

A multivariate dynamic statistical model of the global carbon budget 1959–2020

Bennedsen, Mikkel; Hillebrand, Eric; Koopman, Siem Jan

2023 Journal of the Royal Statistical Society – Series A: Statistics in Society

doi:10.1093/jrsssa/qnac014

Abstract We propose a multivariate dynamic statistical model of the global carbon budget (GCB) as represented in the annual data set made available by the Global Carbon Project, covering the sample period 1959–2020. The model connects four main objects of interest: atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO...
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Journal Article

Clustering spatial networks through latent mixture models

Egidi, Leonardo; Pauli, Francesco; Torelli, Nicola; Zaccarin, Susanna

2023 Journal of the Royal Statistical Society – Series A: Statistics in Society

doi:10.1093/jrsssa/qnac002

Abstract We consider a Bayesian model-based clustering technique that directly accounts for network relations between territorial units and their position in a geographical space. This proposal is motivated by a practical problem: to design administrative structures that are intermediate between...
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Journal Article

Measuring economic mobility in India using noisy data: a partial identification approach

Li, Hao; Millimet, Daniel L; Roychowdhury, Punarjit

2023 Journal of the Royal Statistical Society – Series A: Statistics in Society

doi:10.1093/jrsssa/qnac005

Abstract We examine economic mobility in India while accounting for misclassification to better understand the welfare effects of the rise in inequality. To proceed, we extend recently developed methods on the partial identification of transition matrices. Allowing for modest misclassification,...
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Journal Article

Relational hyperevent models for polyadic interaction networks

Lerner, Jürgen; Lomi, Alessandro

2023 Journal of the Royal Statistical Society – Series A: Statistics in Society

doi:10.1093/jrsssa/qnac012

Abstract Polyadic, or ‘multicast’ social interaction networks arise when one sender addresses multiple receivers simultaneously. Available relational event models are not well suited to the analysis of polyadic interaction networks because they specify event rates for sets of receivers as...
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Journal Article

Multilevel longitudinal analysis of social networks

Koskinen, Johan; Snijders, Tom A B

2023 Journal of the Royal Statistical Society – Series A: Statistics in Society

doi:10.1093/jrsssa/qnac009

Abstract Stochastic actor-oriented models (SAOMs) are a modelling framework for analysing network dynamics using network panel data. This paper extends the SAOM to the analysis of multilevel network panels through a random coefficient model, estimated with a Bayesian approach. The proposed model...
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Journal Article

David Harold Baillie 1940–2021

Coleman, Shirley

2023 Journal of the Royal Statistical Society – Series A: Statistics in Society

doi:10.1093/jrsssa/qnac017

David was a mathematical statistician who worked for the Ministry of Defence until early retirement. He was awarded an OBE in 1993 for his work on sampling plans. He joined the RSS as a Fellow in February 1962 and took an active part in the Quality Improvement Section (QIS). David was an...

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