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Global Savings and Global Investment: The Transmission of Identified Fiscal Shocks

Global Savings and Global Investment: The Transmission of Identified Fiscal Shocks Abstract This paper examines the effect of exogenous shocks to savings on world capital markets. Exogenous tax increases in the United States (from Romer and Romer 2010) are only partially offset by changes in domestic private savings, and only a small amount is absorbed by increased domestic investment (contra Feldstein and Horioka 1980). Almost half the change in taxes is transmitted abroad through a change in the US current account. Other countries experience decreases in current accounts and increases in investment in response to exogenous US tax increases. We cannot reject symmetric responses across countries with different currency regimes and levels of development. (JEL E21 , E22 , E23 , E62 , F32 , F42 ) http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png American Economic Journal: Economic Policy American Economic Association

Global Savings and Global Investment: The Transmission of Identified Fiscal Shocks

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Publisher
American Economic Association
Copyright
Copyright © 2012 by the American Economic Association
Subject
Articles
ISSN
1945-7731
eISSN
1945-774x
DOI
10.1257/pol.4.2.95
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Abstract This paper examines the effect of exogenous shocks to savings on world capital markets. Exogenous tax increases in the United States (from Romer and Romer 2010) are only partially offset by changes in domestic private savings, and only a small amount is absorbed by increased domestic investment (contra Feldstein and Horioka 1980). Almost half the change in taxes is transmitted abroad through a change in the US current account. Other countries experience decreases in current accounts and increases in investment in response to exogenous US tax increases. We cannot reject symmetric responses across countries with different currency regimes and levels of development. (JEL E21 , E22 , E23 , E62 , F32 , F42 )

Journal

American Economic Journal: Economic PolicyAmerican Economic Association

Published: May 1, 2012

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