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How Do Households Value the Future? Evidence from Property Taxes†

How Do Households Value the Future? Evidence from Property Taxes† AbstractDespite the near ubiquity of intertemporal choice, there is little consensus on the rate at which individuals trade present and future costs and benefits. We contribute to this debate by estimating discount rates from extensive data on housing transactions and spatiotemporal variation in property taxes in England. Our findings imply long-term average net of growth nominal discount rates that are between 3 and 4 percent. The close correspondence to prevailing market interest rates gives little reason to suggest that households misoptimize by materially undervaluing very long-term financial flows in this high-stakes context. (JEL D15, H71, R31) http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png American Economic Journal: Economic Policy American Economic Association

How Do Households Value the Future? Evidence from Property Taxes†

How Do Households Value the Future? Evidence from Property Taxes†

American Economic Journal: Economic Policy , Volume 14 (1) – Feb 1, 2022

Abstract

AbstractDespite the near ubiquity of intertemporal choice, there is little consensus on the rate at which individuals trade present and future costs and benefits. We contribute to this debate by estimating discount rates from extensive data on housing transactions and spatiotemporal variation in property taxes in England. Our findings imply long-term average net of growth nominal discount rates that are between 3 and 4 percent. The close correspondence to prevailing market interest rates gives little reason to suggest that households misoptimize by materially undervaluing very long-term financial flows in this high-stakes context. (JEL D15, H71, R31)

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Publisher
American Economic Association
Copyright
Copyright © 2022 © American Economic Association
ISSN
1945-7731
DOI
10.1257/pol.20200443
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

AbstractDespite the near ubiquity of intertemporal choice, there is little consensus on the rate at which individuals trade present and future costs and benefits. We contribute to this debate by estimating discount rates from extensive data on housing transactions and spatiotemporal variation in property taxes in England. Our findings imply long-term average net of growth nominal discount rates that are between 3 and 4 percent. The close correspondence to prevailing market interest rates gives little reason to suggest that households misoptimize by materially undervaluing very long-term financial flows in this high-stakes context. (JEL D15, H71, R31)

Journal

American Economic Journal: Economic PolicyAmerican Economic Association

Published: Feb 1, 2022

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