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Intro to Informational Substitutes YILING CHEN Harvard University and BO WAGGONER University of Pennsylvania We propose de nitions for when signals are substitutes and complements . These give a characterization of equilibria of prediction markets and are relevant to the complexity of information acquisition under constraints. Categories and Subject Descriptors: F.2.0 [Theory of Computation]: Analysis of Algorithms and Problem Complexity General Terms: Economics, Algorithms, Theory Additional Key Words and Phrases: Prediction markets, Value of information, Information acquisition, Signals, Substitutes, Complements. 1. DEFINING INFORMATIONAL SUBSTITUTES AND COMPLEMENTS The goal of Informational Substitutes [Chen and Waggoner 2016] is to raise the question: When should we consider a set of pieces of information to be substitutes or complements , and how can such de nitions be useful? The key intuition for substitutes that we hope to leverage here is diminishing marginal value: A1 and A2 are substitutes if having either one makes the other less desirable.1 But while it is understood how to model substitutable items, new challenges are raised by information. How do we model information at all? Where does the value of information come from? What is a marginal unit of information,
ACM SIGecom Exchanges – Association for Computing Machinery
Published: Sep 25, 2017
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