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Dating Structural Changes in UK Monetary Policy

Dating Structural Changes in UK Monetary Policy AbstractThe UK historical monetary policy experience is rich of institutional changes, but it remains unclear which of these many events dominated the policy actions and what timing characterised the inception of different policy regimes. We develop a new empirical approach to answer these questions and we identify in particular the historical institutional events that effectively translated into a shift of the systematic actions of the UK monetary authorities. We find that not all institutional events triggered a contemporaneous change in the actual policy conduct, although a coherent evolution in phases is evident since 1978, when a significant monetary policy rule emerges. These occasional but not sporadic regime changes explain a considerable share of the movements in the official interest rate, as well as an overstatement of the importance of policy inertia. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics de Gruyter

Dating Structural Changes in UK Monetary Policy

The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics , Volume 21 (2): 31 – Jul 15, 2021

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Publisher
de Gruyter
Copyright
© 2021 Vincenzo De Lipsis, published by De Gruyter, Berlin/Boston
ISSN
1935-1690
eISSN
1935-1690
DOI
10.1515/bejm-2019-0250
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

AbstractThe UK historical monetary policy experience is rich of institutional changes, but it remains unclear which of these many events dominated the policy actions and what timing characterised the inception of different policy regimes. We develop a new empirical approach to answer these questions and we identify in particular the historical institutional events that effectively translated into a shift of the systematic actions of the UK monetary authorities. We find that not all institutional events triggered a contemporaneous change in the actual policy conduct, although a coherent evolution in phases is evident since 1978, when a significant monetary policy rule emerges. These occasional but not sporadic regime changes explain a considerable share of the movements in the official interest rate, as well as an overstatement of the importance of policy inertia.

Journal

The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomicsde Gruyter

Published: Jul 15, 2021

Keywords: endogenous regressors; monetary policy rule; regime change; structural change; structural stability; United Kingdom

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