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Sub-Saharan Africa's rising public debt stock: before another debt relief!

Sub-Saharan Africa's rising public debt stock: before another debt relief! In light of the recent calls for another round of debt relief for African countries, by African finance ministers and governments, the aim of the study is twofold. First, the study examined the effect of public debt on macroeconomic performance. Two, the study also examined whether previous debt relief has impacted positively on sub-Saharan African economies.Design/methodology/approachThe study adopts the two-step system GMM that accounts for potential endogeneity and feedback effect in dynamic panel models. As robustness, the study performs the two-stage least square (2SLS) estimation method.FindingsThe study reveals that previous debt relief programmes only had a marginal effect on economic growth in the region. The study found that corruption impacts negatively on the effectiveness of debt relief to achieve the desired economic outcomes. The study also found that sub-Saharan African economies seem to have shifted away from traditional concessional sources of financing towards market-based lenders dominated by China.Originality/valueThe study adds to the growing evidence in the public debt literature by looking at the separate impact of domestic and foreign debts on macroeconomic indicators of economic growth, inflation, unemployment and exchange rate. The study also controlled for previous debt relief in light of the call for another round of debt relief.Graphical Abstract http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png African Journal of Economic and Management Studies Emerald Publishing

Sub-Saharan Africa's rising public debt stock: before another debt relief!

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Publisher
Emerald Publishing
Copyright
© Emerald Publishing Limited
ISSN
2040-0705
DOI
10.1108/ajems-03-2022-0105
Publisher site
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Abstract

In light of the recent calls for another round of debt relief for African countries, by African finance ministers and governments, the aim of the study is twofold. First, the study examined the effect of public debt on macroeconomic performance. Two, the study also examined whether previous debt relief has impacted positively on sub-Saharan African economies.Design/methodology/approachThe study adopts the two-step system GMM that accounts for potential endogeneity and feedback effect in dynamic panel models. As robustness, the study performs the two-stage least square (2SLS) estimation method.FindingsThe study reveals that previous debt relief programmes only had a marginal effect on economic growth in the region. The study found that corruption impacts negatively on the effectiveness of debt relief to achieve the desired economic outcomes. The study also found that sub-Saharan African economies seem to have shifted away from traditional concessional sources of financing towards market-based lenders dominated by China.Originality/valueThe study adds to the growing evidence in the public debt literature by looking at the separate impact of domestic and foreign debts on macroeconomic indicators of economic growth, inflation, unemployment and exchange rate. The study also controlled for previous debt relief in light of the call for another round of debt relief.Graphical Abstract

Journal

African Journal of Economic and Management Studies – Emerald Publishing

Published: Feb 24, 2023

Keywords: Public debt; Debt relief; GMM; Corruption; E6; H5; H6

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