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A Realized Variance for the Whole Day Based on Intermittent High-Frequency Data

A Realized Variance for the Whole Day Based on Intermittent High-Frequency Data We consider the problem of deriving an empirical measure of daily integrated variance (IV) in the situation where high-frequency price data are unavailable for part of the day. We study three estimators in this context and characterize the assumptions that justify their use. We show that the optimal combination of the realized variance and squared overnight return can be determined, despite the latent nature of IV, and we discuss this result in relation to the problem of combining forecasts. Finally, we apply our theoretical results and construct four years of daily volatility estimates for the 30 stocks of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Journal of Financial Econometrics Oxford University Press

A Realized Variance for the Whole Day Based on Intermittent High-Frequency Data

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Publisher
Oxford University Press
Copyright
© The Author 2005. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oupjournals.org.
ISSN
1479-8409
eISSN
1479-8417
DOI
10.1093/jjfinec/nbi028
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

We consider the problem of deriving an empirical measure of daily integrated variance (IV) in the situation where high-frequency price data are unavailable for part of the day. We study three estimators in this context and characterize the assumptions that justify their use. We show that the optimal combination of the realized variance and squared overnight return can be determined, despite the latent nature of IV, and we discuss this result in relation to the problem of combining forecasts. Finally, we apply our theoretical results and construct four years of daily volatility estimates for the 30 stocks of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Journal

Journal of Financial EconometricsOxford University Press

Published: Aug 26, 2005

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