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/lp/oxford-university-press/are-monthly-market-returns-predictable-FWEWJIPX12
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- Publisher
- Oxford University Press
- Copyright
- Copyright © 2021 Society for Financial Studies
- ISSN
- 2045-9920
- eISSN
- 2045-9939
- DOI
- 10.1093/rapstu/raab010
- Publisher site
- See Article on Publisher Site
Abstract
Abstract We document significant persistence in the market timing performance of active individual investors, suggesting that some investors are skilled at timing. Using data on all trades by active Finnish individual investors over almost 15 years, we also show that the net purchases of skilled versus unskilled investors predict monthly market returns. Our results lend credibility to the view that market returns are predictable, without having to specify which variables active investors use to successfully time the market. This content is only available as a PDF. © The Author 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com This article is published and distributed under the terms of the Oxford University Press, Standard Journals Publication Model (https://academic.oup.com/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model)
Journal
The Review of Asset Pricing Studies – Oxford University Press
Published: Apr 10, 2021