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- Publisher
- Oxford University Press
- Copyright
- The Author 2015. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com
- ISSN
- 2045-9920
- eISSN
- 2045-9939
- DOI
- 10.1093/rapstu/rav001
- Publisher site
- See Article on Publisher Site
Abstract
Using structural credit risk models to estimate default dependence requires estimates of correlations of changes in distance-to-default. We present a structural model that yields simple relations between asset value, distance-to-default, and CDS spreads, allowing the correlations to be estimated from CDS spreads. We generalize the model to include a randomly varying default boundary; in this version the distance-to-default dynamics also depend on the movement of the default boundary. The CDS spread correlations we estimate exceed equity correlations, consistent with a randomly varying default boundary. We also present evidence that variations in funding liquidity affect the correlations, consistent with recent models. (JEL G13, G23)
Journal
The Review of Asset Pricing Studies – Oxford University Press
Published: Jun 24, 2015