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Abstract I estimate a dynamic term structure model on an unbalanced panel of Treasury coupon bonds, without relying on an interpolated zero-coupon yield curve. A linearity-generating model, which separates the parameters that govern the cross-sectional and time-series moments of the model, takes about 8 min to estimate on a sample of over 1 million bond prices. The traditional exponential affine model takes about 2 hr, because of a convexity term in coupon-bond prices that cannot be concentrated out of the cross-sectional likelihood. I quantify the on-the-run premium and a “notes versus bonds” premium from 1990 to 2017 in a single, easy-to-estimate no-arbitrage model. This content is only available as a PDF. © The Author 2021. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: journals.permissions@oup.com This article is published and distributed under the terms of the Oxford University Press, Standard Journals Publication Model (https://academic.oup.com/journals/pages/open_access/funder_policies/chorus/standard_publication_model)
The Review of Asset Pricing Studies – Oxford University Press
Published: Jan 30, 2021
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