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This paper examines the link between current-quarter cash flows and both past performance and past cash flows using a sample of Australian retail superannuation fund data (managed growth and managed stable) drawn from the period 1994 to 2000. This is a rapidly growing sector within the superannuation industry and it reflects investment behaviour of smaller investors rather than institutions and large corporations. Using both the Gruber (1996) approach and panel-data analysis we find a positive relationship between past performance and current-quarter cash flows as well as evidence of persistence in cash flows over time. Panel-data analysis also identifies a positive relationship between current net cash flows and past performance and cash inflows as well as a negative relationship between current net cash flows and past outflows. Market-wide growth in the retail superannuation sector over the study period does not appear to be driving these results.
Australian Journal of Management – SAGE
Published: Dec 1, 2005
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