Get 20M+ Full-Text Papers For Less Than $1.50/day. Start a 14-Day Trial for You or Your Team.

Learn More →

A Pragmatic Guide to Real OptionsMaking Decisions Sequential

A Pragmatic Guide to Real Options: Making Decisions Sequential [As stated in chapter 1, net present value (NPV) decisions are made “technically” without any consideration of reevaluation in the future. The outflows and inflows are discounted, and the NPV is computed with an NPV greater than or equal to zero implying that the project is viable. The main focus of chapter 1 was that a single discount rate for all of the cash flows through time was not consistent with reality. Cash flows received later in time should have higher discount rates than cash flows received sooner in time. This chapter will focus on viewing projects as a series of sequential decisions rather than a single initial decision. To illustrate the concept, consider a game in which you pay $1.00 to roll two six-sided dice. If the dice are rolled and two 6 s appear (a total of 12), you will receive $20.00; otherwise you will receive nothing.] http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png

A Pragmatic Guide to Real OptionsMaking Decisions Sequential

Arnold, Tom
Springer Journals — Nov 12, 2015
Download PDF
16 pages

Loading next page...
 
/lp/springer-journals/a-pragmatic-guide-to-real-options-making-decisions-sequential-SXx8FE4Lm7
Publisher
Palgrave Macmillan US
Copyright
© Palgrave Macmillan, a division of Nature America Inc. 2014
ISBN
978-1-349-48301-3
Pages
15 –31
DOI
10.1057/9781137391162_2
Publisher site
See Chapter on Publisher Site

Abstract

[As stated in chapter 1, net present value (NPV) decisions are made “technically” without any consideration of reevaluation in the future. The outflows and inflows are discounted, and the NPV is computed with an NPV greater than or equal to zero implying that the project is viable. The main focus of chapter 1 was that a single discount rate for all of the cash flows through time was not consistent with reality. Cash flows received later in time should have higher discount rates than cash flows received sooner in time. This chapter will focus on viewing projects as a series of sequential decisions rather than a single initial decision. To illustrate the concept, consider a game in which you pay $1.00 to roll two six-sided dice. If the dice are rolled and two 6 s appear (a total of 12), you will receive $20.00; otherwise you will receive nothing.]

Published: Nov 12, 2015

Keywords: Cash Flow; Venture Capitalist; Option Price; Investment Decision; Future Event

There are no references for this article.