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[Evacuation during disaster events is dependent on utilization of transportation, shelters, capital and human resources. In slow-onset events such as cyclones, use of these resources can be pre-planned and allocated based on the scenario of predicted level of disaster. For a developing country like India establishing such a method for prediction of demand and allocation of resources is required for floods and cyclones. This study attempts in addressing the need by proposing a framework for optimal allocation of shelters in evacuation scenarios where evacuation demand is calculated based on the current scenario of the hazard and the available capacity of destination shelters is known in advance. The framework utilizes a location-allocation model with constraints such as supply at shelters, travel cost between origin and destinations, risk clustering, etc. The methodology is applied to the coastal area of East Midnapur district in West Bengal. The study area falls in a low elevation coastal zone and is highly vulnerable to floods and cyclones. The proposed framework will help emergency planners in devising appropriate strategies to minimize the cost of operation by allocating resources efficiently for a successful evacuation.]
Published: Mar 2, 2022
Keywords: Shelter location-allocation; Evacuation planning; Disaster management
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