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[Regressions are introduced as straight lines fitted through a scatterplot. The calculation of a regression as the ‘line of best fit’, obtained by minimising the sum of squared vertical deviations about the line (the least squares approach), is developed. This provides the least squares formulae for estimating the intercept and slope, and the interpretation of the regression line is discussed. The links between correlation, causation, reverse regression and partial correlation are investigated. Further issues involving regressions, such as how to deal with non-linearity, the use of time trends and lagged dependent variables as regressors, and the computation of elasticities, are all developed and illustrated using various economic examples.]
Published: Oct 26, 2015
Keywords: Income Growth; Phillips Curve; Dependent Variable Model; Reverse Regression; Aggregate Time Series
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