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Bubbles and Broad Monetary Aggregates: Toward a Consensus Approach to Business Cycles

Bubbles and Broad Monetary Aggregates: Toward a Consensus Approach to Business Cycles A challenge for quantity-theoretic explanations of business cycles is that recessions manifest despite central banks’ scrupulousness to avoid falls in monetary aggregates, a fact which would seem to indicate a structural explanation. This paper argues that a broader and theoretically richer Divisia aggregate—which reflects changes in financial market liquidity even without changes in the quantity of any particular asset—can reconcile these two approaches. Liquidity shocks such as the rise and collapse of asset bubbles can drive excess supply of and demand for money, respectively, that quantity theorists point to as determinative of short-run economic fluctuations. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Eastern Economic Journal Springer Journals

Bubbles and Broad Monetary Aggregates: Toward a Consensus Approach to Business Cycles

Eastern Economic Journal , Volume 45 (2) – Nov 16, 2018

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References (78)

Publisher
Springer Journals
Copyright
Copyright © 2018 by EEA
Subject
Economics; Economics, general; Economic Theory/Quantitative Economics/Mathematical Methods
ISSN
0094-5056
eISSN
1939-4632
DOI
10.1057/s41302-018-00127-y
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

A challenge for quantity-theoretic explanations of business cycles is that recessions manifest despite central banks’ scrupulousness to avoid falls in monetary aggregates, a fact which would seem to indicate a structural explanation. This paper argues that a broader and theoretically richer Divisia aggregate—which reflects changes in financial market liquidity even without changes in the quantity of any particular asset—can reconcile these two approaches. Liquidity shocks such as the rise and collapse of asset bubbles can drive excess supply of and demand for money, respectively, that quantity theorists point to as determinative of short-run economic fluctuations.

Journal

Eastern Economic JournalSpringer Journals

Published: Nov 16, 2018

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