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- Publisher
- Springer Journals
- Copyright
- Copyright © 2013 by Eastern Economic Association
- Subject
- Economics; Economics, general; Economic Theory/Quantitative Economics/Mathematical Methods
- ISSN
- 0094-5056
- eISSN
- 1939-4632
- DOI
- 10.1057/eej.2012.24
- Publisher site
- See Article on Publisher Site
Abstract
We model illegal immigration across the US-Mexico border into Arizona, California, and Texas as an unobservable variable applying a Multiple Indicators Multiple Causes model. Using state-level data from 1985 to 2004, we test the incentives and deterrents influencing illegal immigration. Better labor market conditions in a US state and worse in Mexico encourage illegal immigration while more intense border enforcement deters it. Estimating the state-specific inflow of illegal Mexican immigrants we find that the 1994/95 peso crisis in Mexico led to significant increases in illegal immigration. US border enforcement policies in the 1990s provided temporary relief while post-9/11 re-enforcement has reduced illegal immigration.
Journal
Eastern Economic Journal – Springer Journals
Published: May 6, 2013