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[This chapter explores the possibility to leverage semantic knowledge for robust estimation of correlations among financial assets. A graphical model for high-dimensional stochastic dependenceDependence modelinghigh-dimensional termed a “vine” structure, which is derived from copula theory, is introduced here. To model the prior semantic knowledge, we use a neural network-based language model to generate distributed semantic representations for financial documents. The semantic representations are used for computing similarities between the assets they respectively refer. The constructed dependence structure is experimented with real-world data. Results suggest that our semantic vineVinesemantic construction-based method is superior to the state-of-the-art covariance matrix estimation method, which is based on an arbitrary vine that at least guarantees robustness of the estimated covariance matrix. The effectiveness of using semantic vines for robust correlation estimation for Markowitz’s asset allocation modelMarkowitz model on a large scale of assets (up to 50 stocks) is also showed and discussed.]
Published: Nov 14, 2019
Keywords: Asset allocation; Dependence modeling; Robust estimation; Doc2vec; Semantic vine; Correlation matrix; Machine learning
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