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Seasonality in the cross section of factor premia

Seasonality in the cross section of factor premia This study examines the seasonality effect in the cross section of factor premia representing a broad set of stock market strategies. Using cross-sectional and time-series tests, we investigated the cross-sectional seasonality of market, value, size, momentum, quality and low-risk premia within a sample of 24 international equity markets for the years 1986–2016. We provide convincing evidence that the factors with the highest (lowest) mean returns in the same calendar months in the past continue to overperform (underperform) in seven of the studied countries: Denmark, Finland, France, Israel, Spain, Sweden and the United States. Furthermore, when the factors in multiple countries are considered, the past same-month returns display strong predictive power for future size and low-risk premia. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Investment Analysts Journal Taylor & Francis

Seasonality in the cross section of factor premia

Investment Analysts Journal , Volume 46 (3): 35 – Jul 3, 2017

Seasonality in the cross section of factor premia

Investment Analysts Journal , Volume 46 (3): 35 – Jul 3, 2017

Abstract

This study examines the seasonality effect in the cross section of factor premia representing a broad set of stock market strategies. Using cross-sectional and time-series tests, we investigated the cross-sectional seasonality of market, value, size, momentum, quality and low-risk premia within a sample of 24 international equity markets for the years 1986–2016. We provide convincing evidence that the factors with the highest (lowest) mean returns in the same calendar months in the past continue to overperform (underperform) in seven of the studied countries: Denmark, Finland, France, Israel, Spain, Sweden and the United States. Furthermore, when the factors in multiple countries are considered, the past same-month returns display strong predictive power for future size and low-risk premia.

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References (48)

Publisher
Taylor & Francis
Copyright
© 2017 Investment Analysts Society of South Africa
ISSN
2077-0227
eISSN
1029-3523
DOI
10.1080/10293523.2017.1326219
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

This study examines the seasonality effect in the cross section of factor premia representing a broad set of stock market strategies. Using cross-sectional and time-series tests, we investigated the cross-sectional seasonality of market, value, size, momentum, quality and low-risk premia within a sample of 24 international equity markets for the years 1986–2016. We provide convincing evidence that the factors with the highest (lowest) mean returns in the same calendar months in the past continue to overperform (underperform) in seven of the studied countries: Denmark, Finland, France, Israel, Spain, Sweden and the United States. Furthermore, when the factors in multiple countries are considered, the past same-month returns display strong predictive power for future size and low-risk premia.

Journal

Investment Analysts JournalTaylor & Francis

Published: Jul 3, 2017

Keywords: Seasonal anomalies; calendar anomalies; factor premium; asset pricing; value; momentum; size; quality; low-volatility; international equity markets; market efficiency; return predictability; G11; G12; G14; G15

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