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Volatility transmission in maize futures markets of major exporters

Volatility transmission in maize futures markets of major exporters The United States, Brazil, Argentina and South Africa are the largest exporters of maize. This paper examines volatility transmission in maize futures listed on SAFEX, CBOT, MATBA (Argentina) and BMF (Brazil). Four multivariate GARCH models are employed to investigate the dynamics and cross-dynamics of volatility using daily data over the period 24 November 2008 to 27 December 2018. The results confirm the existence of significant spillover effects of volatility between futures markets of the leading exporters of maize. The results also highlight that the level and magnitude of interdependence between these markets have changed over time. The findings have important implications for risk management and regulation in agricultural futures markets. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Investment Analysts Journal Taylor & Francis

Volatility transmission in maize futures markets of major exporters

Investment Analysts Journal , Volume 48 (3): 15 – Jul 3, 2019

Volatility transmission in maize futures markets of major exporters

Investment Analysts Journal , Volume 48 (3): 15 – Jul 3, 2019

Abstract

The United States, Brazil, Argentina and South Africa are the largest exporters of maize. This paper examines volatility transmission in maize futures listed on SAFEX, CBOT, MATBA (Argentina) and BMF (Brazil). Four multivariate GARCH models are employed to investigate the dynamics and cross-dynamics of volatility using daily data over the period 24 November 2008 to 27 December 2018. The results confirm the existence of significant spillover effects of volatility between futures markets of the leading exporters of maize. The results also highlight that the level and magnitude of interdependence between these markets have changed over time. The findings have important implications for risk management and regulation in agricultural futures markets.

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Publisher
Taylor & Francis
Copyright
© 2019 Investment Analysts Society of South Africa
ISSN
2077-0227
eISSN
1029-3523
DOI
10.1080/10293523.2019.1626602
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

The United States, Brazil, Argentina and South Africa are the largest exporters of maize. This paper examines volatility transmission in maize futures listed on SAFEX, CBOT, MATBA (Argentina) and BMF (Brazil). Four multivariate GARCH models are employed to investigate the dynamics and cross-dynamics of volatility using daily data over the period 24 November 2008 to 27 December 2018. The results confirm the existence of significant spillover effects of volatility between futures markets of the leading exporters of maize. The results also highlight that the level and magnitude of interdependence between these markets have changed over time. The findings have important implications for risk management and regulation in agricultural futures markets.

Journal

Investment Analysts JournalTaylor & Francis

Published: Jul 3, 2019

Keywords: volatility transmission; volatility spillover; maize futures; multivariate GARCH

References