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Can herding improve investment decisions?

Can herding improve investment decisions? Existing models show that herding in decisions can cause significant information loss, inferior information aggregation, and impaired decision making. However, we show that in a multistage decision setting with endogenous information production, herding on the initial decision can actually result in superior aggregate information and improved decisions. This is because the possibility of herding by a follower incentivizes the leader to increase its ex ante information production to an extent that it can dominate the information loss from herding. Examples include decisions to enter new markets, fund R&D, and provide early‐stage venture capital. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png The Rand Journal of Economics Wiley

Can herding improve investment decisions?

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References (67)

Publisher
Wiley
Copyright
Copyright © 2011, RAND.
ISSN
0741-6261
eISSN
1756-2171
DOI
10.1111/j.1756-2171.2010.00129.x
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Existing models show that herding in decisions can cause significant information loss, inferior information aggregation, and impaired decision making. However, we show that in a multistage decision setting with endogenous information production, herding on the initial decision can actually result in superior aggregate information and improved decisions. This is because the possibility of herding by a follower incentivizes the leader to increase its ex ante information production to an extent that it can dominate the information loss from herding. Examples include decisions to enter new markets, fund R&D, and provide early‐stage venture capital.

Journal

The Rand Journal of EconomicsWiley

Published: Mar 1, 2011

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