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challenge the key hypothesis in modernization theory: political regimes do not transition to democracy as per capita incomes rise, they argue. Rather, democratic transitions occur randomly, but once there, countries with higher levels of GDP per capita remain democratic. We retest the modernization hypothesis using new data, new techniques, and a three‐way rather than dichotomous classification of regimes. Contrary to we find that the modernization hypothesis stands up well. We also find that partial democracies emerge as among the most important and least understood regime types.
American Journal of Political Science – Wiley
Published: Jul 1, 2006
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