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Ensembles‐based predictions of climate changes and their impacts

Ensembles‐based predictions of climate changes and their impacts Predictions of natural climate variability and the human impact on climate are inherently probabilistic, due to uncertainties in the initial conditions of forecasts, the representation of key processes within models, and climatic forcing factors. Hence, reliable estimates of climatic risk can be made only through ensemble integrations of Earth system models in which these uncertainties are explicitly incorporated. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Eos Transactions Wiley

Ensembles‐based predictions of climate changes and their impacts

Eos Transactions , Volume 85 (52) – Apr 28, 2006
2 pages

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Publisher
Wiley
Copyright
"Copyright © 2004 Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company"
ISSN
0096-3941
eISSN
2324-9250
DOI
10.1029/2004EO520005
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Predictions of natural climate variability and the human impact on climate are inherently probabilistic, due to uncertainties in the initial conditions of forecasts, the representation of key processes within models, and climatic forcing factors. Hence, reliable estimates of climatic risk can be made only through ensemble integrations of Earth system models in which these uncertainties are explicitly incorporated.

Journal

Eos TransactionsWiley

Published: Apr 28, 2006

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