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The failure of the monetary exchange rate model for the Canadian‐U.S. dollar

The failure of the monetary exchange rate model for the Canadian‐U.S. dollar In this paper the validity of the monetary exchange rate model in the long run for the Canadian‐U.S. dollar exchange rate is examined. The primary test employed is the Johansen (1991) and Johansen and Juselius (1990) cointegration technique. The effects of dummy variables and lag specification on the statistical inference are considered, and Monte Carlo simulations based on the estimated parameters are employed. Despite the use of the longest data set yet for the Canadian case, no evidence is found in favour of the monetary exchange rate model using the Johansen procedures. This result is confirmed by several other cointegration procedures. JEL Classification: F31; F41 http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue Canadienne D'économique Wiley

The failure of the monetary exchange rate model for the Canadian‐U.S. dollar

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References (33)

Publisher
Wiley
Copyright
Copyright © 2000 Wiley Subscription Services, Inc., A Wiley Company
ISSN
0008-4085
eISSN
1540-5982
DOI
10.1111/0008-4085.00031
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

In this paper the validity of the monetary exchange rate model in the long run for the Canadian‐U.S. dollar exchange rate is examined. The primary test employed is the Johansen (1991) and Johansen and Juselius (1990) cointegration technique. The effects of dummy variables and lag specification on the statistical inference are considered, and Monte Carlo simulations based on the estimated parameters are employed. Despite the use of the longest data set yet for the Canadian case, no evidence is found in favour of the monetary exchange rate model using the Johansen procedures. This result is confirmed by several other cointegration procedures. JEL Classification: F31; F41

Journal

Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue Canadienne D'économiqueWiley

Published: Aug 1, 2000

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