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The great industry gamble: market structure dynamics as a survival contest

The great industry gamble: market structure dynamics as a survival contest Industry dynamics are studied as an endogenous tournament with infinite horizon and stochastic entry. In each period, firms’ investments determine their probability of surviving into the next period. This generates a survival contest, which fuels market structure dynamics, while the evolution of market structure constantly redefines the contest. More concentrated markets endogenously generate less profit, rivals that are more difficult to outlive, and more entry. The unique steady‐state distribution exhibits ongoing turbulence, correlated exit and entry rates, and shakeouts. The model’s predictions fit empirical findings in markets where firms trade off profits for smaller risk of failure (e.g., banking). http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png The Rand Journal of Economics Wiley

The great industry gamble: market structure dynamics as a survival contest

The Rand Journal of Economics , Volume 43 (2) – Jun 1, 2012

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References (49)

Publisher
Wiley
Copyright
© 2012, RAND.
ISSN
0741-6261
eISSN
1756-2171
DOI
10.1111/j.1756-2171.2012.00169.x
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Industry dynamics are studied as an endogenous tournament with infinite horizon and stochastic entry. In each period, firms’ investments determine their probability of surviving into the next period. This generates a survival contest, which fuels market structure dynamics, while the evolution of market structure constantly redefines the contest. More concentrated markets endogenously generate less profit, rivals that are more difficult to outlive, and more entry. The unique steady‐state distribution exhibits ongoing turbulence, correlated exit and entry rates, and shakeouts. The model’s predictions fit empirical findings in markets where firms trade off profits for smaller risk of failure (e.g., banking).

Journal

The Rand Journal of EconomicsWiley

Published: Jun 1, 2012

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