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Are House Prices Driven by Capital Flows? Evidence from Singapore

Are House Prices Driven by Capital Flows? Evidence from Singapore This paper investigates whether real house price appreciations can be attributed to the surge in real capital inflows into Singapore. We proxy capital flows by using the amount of Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) to real estate capturing the foreign purchases of property in Singapore which we deflate by the private residential property price index. Notwithstanding the absence of a cointegrating relationship, our results support the hypothesis that lagged short term fluctuations in capital inflows are positively associated with the growth rates of house prices over the last decade. We also provide evidence that macroprudential measures implemented by Singapore reduced the impact of capital inflows on house price appreciation by more than half, suggesting the effectiveness of such market cooling measures in weakening the credit growth channel. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy World Scientific Publishing Company

Are House Prices Driven by Capital Flows? Evidence from Singapore

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Publisher
World Scientific Publishing Company
Copyright
Copyright ©
ISSN
1793-9933
eISSN
1793-9941
DOI
10.1142/S179399331650006X
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

This paper investigates whether real house price appreciations can be attributed to the surge in real capital inflows into Singapore. We proxy capital flows by using the amount of Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) to real estate capturing the foreign purchases of property in Singapore which we deflate by the private residential property price index. Notwithstanding the absence of a cointegrating relationship, our results support the hypothesis that lagged short term fluctuations in capital inflows are positively associated with the growth rates of house prices over the last decade. We also provide evidence that macroprudential measures implemented by Singapore reduced the impact of capital inflows on house price appreciation by more than half, suggesting the effectiveness of such market cooling measures in weakening the credit growth channel.

Journal

Journal of International Commerce, Economics and PolicyWorld Scientific Publishing Company

Published: Feb 1, 2016

Keywords: Capital inflows house prices macroprudential policy

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