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EXAMINING THE UNDERLYING PARITY CONDITIONS SUFFICIENT FOR REAL INTEREST PARITY FOR ASIAN COUNTRIES

EXAMINING THE UNDERLYING PARITY CONDITIONS SUFFICIENT FOR REAL INTEREST PARITY FOR ASIAN COUNTRIES This paper examines the underlying parity conditions upon which real interest parity (RIP) is predicted for some Asian countries relative to the U.S. and Japan over a period (1978–2009) containing significant changes using the multivariate cointegration procedure of Johansen et al. (2000) that allows for up to two pre-determined breaks. Each parity condition is examined to determine which is responsible for the rejection of RIP. The results suggest that the Fisher hypothesis is the least likely to violate RIP, whereas uncovered interest parity (UIP) appears to be most commonly violated. Stability tests suggest that the RIP relationship has been stable in most cases and that the impact of the Asian crisis and the Plaza Accord appears to be transitory, and that the RIP relationships have strengthened in the aftermath of the 1997–1998 Asian crisis. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png The Singapore Economic Review World Scientific Publishing Company

EXAMINING THE UNDERLYING PARITY CONDITIONS SUFFICIENT FOR REAL INTEREST PARITY FOR ASIAN COUNTRIES

The Singapore Economic Review , Volume 58 (01): 1 – Mar 1, 2013

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References (51)

Publisher
World Scientific Publishing Company
Copyright
Copyright ©
ISSN
0217-5908
eISSN
1793-6837
DOI
10.1142/S0217590813500021
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

This paper examines the underlying parity conditions upon which real interest parity (RIP) is predicted for some Asian countries relative to the U.S. and Japan over a period (1978–2009) containing significant changes using the multivariate cointegration procedure of Johansen et al. (2000) that allows for up to two pre-determined breaks. Each parity condition is examined to determine which is responsible for the rejection of RIP. The results suggest that the Fisher hypothesis is the least likely to violate RIP, whereas uncovered interest parity (UIP) appears to be most commonly violated. Stability tests suggest that the RIP relationship has been stable in most cases and that the impact of the Asian crisis and the Plaza Accord appears to be transitory, and that the RIP relationships have strengthened in the aftermath of the 1997–1998 Asian crisis.

Journal

The Singapore Economic ReviewWorld Scientific Publishing Company

Published: Mar 1, 2013

Keywords: RIP cointegration tests structural breaks

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