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LIFE-CYCLE INCOME HYPOTHESIS AND DEMOGRAPHIC STRUCTURE: A SEMI-NONPARAMETRIC ANALYSIS USING A PANEL OF COUNTRIES

LIFE-CYCLE INCOME HYPOTHESIS AND DEMOGRAPHIC STRUCTURE: A SEMI-NONPARAMETRIC ANALYSIS USING A... In this paper, we attempt to determine whether the life-cycle income (LCI) hypothesis can explain movements in the national savings rate using the panel data of countries and the semi-nonparametric approach. While relating movements in the population density function to movements in the national savings rate, we are able to estimate the age response function with a high level of precision, and the estimated age response function is hump-shaped, which is generally consistent with the prediction from the LCI hypothesis. Running time-series regressions separately for individual countries, we also demonstrate that the estimated age response functions are consistent with the LCI hypothesis in a large proportion of countries, despite limited observations in a variety of countries. Finally, our time-series and cross-sectional analysis results imply that the LCI hypothesis is more likely to hold in a country wherein the growth rate of per capita GDP and the growth rate of population are high. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png The Singapore Economic Review World Scientific Publishing Company

LIFE-CYCLE INCOME HYPOTHESIS AND DEMOGRAPHIC STRUCTURE: A SEMI-NONPARAMETRIC ANALYSIS USING A PANEL OF COUNTRIES

The Singapore Economic Review , Volume 58 (01): 1 – Mar 1, 2013

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References (20)

Publisher
World Scientific Publishing Company
Copyright
Copyright ©
ISSN
0217-5908
eISSN
1793-6837
DOI
10.1142/S0217590813500033
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

In this paper, we attempt to determine whether the life-cycle income (LCI) hypothesis can explain movements in the national savings rate using the panel data of countries and the semi-nonparametric approach. While relating movements in the population density function to movements in the national savings rate, we are able to estimate the age response function with a high level of precision, and the estimated age response function is hump-shaped, which is generally consistent with the prediction from the LCI hypothesis. Running time-series regressions separately for individual countries, we also demonstrate that the estimated age response functions are consistent with the LCI hypothesis in a large proportion of countries, despite limited observations in a variety of countries. Finally, our time-series and cross-sectional analysis results imply that the LCI hypothesis is more likely to hold in a country wherein the growth rate of per capita GDP and the growth rate of population are high.

Journal

The Singapore Economic ReviewWorld Scientific Publishing Company

Published: Mar 1, 2013

Keywords: Age distribution Fourier flexible form life-cycle income hypothesis semi-nonparametric regression series estimation

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