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VALUATIONS OF CHANGES IN RISKS: THE REFERENCE STATE AND EVIDENCE OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE MEASURES

VALUATIONS OF CHANGES IN RISKS: THE REFERENCE STATE AND EVIDENCE OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE MEASURES Given the pervasive evidence that people typically value changes in terms of comparisons to a reference state, and that they commonly value losses and reductions of losses more than gains, current risk assessment and valuation practice is likely to lead to systematic bias and distorted guidance. Willingness to pay estimates of the value of reducing the risk of harm are, for example, likely to understate the value of actions to bring this about. Differences in valuations resulting from different measures are illustrated, and the criteria for the choice between measures of the value of positive and negative changes in risk are demonstrated with results from a new risk study in China. http://www.deepdyve.com/assets/images/DeepDyve-Logo-lg.png The Singapore Economic Review World Scientific Publishing Company

VALUATIONS OF CHANGES IN RISKS: THE REFERENCE STATE AND EVIDENCE OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE MEASURES

The Singapore Economic Review , Volume 58 (01): 1 – Mar 1, 2013

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Publisher
World Scientific Publishing Company
Copyright
Copyright ©
ISSN
0217-5908
eISSN
1793-6837
DOI
10.1142/S021759081350001X
Publisher site
See Article on Publisher Site

Abstract

Given the pervasive evidence that people typically value changes in terms of comparisons to a reference state, and that they commonly value losses and reductions of losses more than gains, current risk assessment and valuation practice is likely to lead to systematic bias and distorted guidance. Willingness to pay estimates of the value of reducing the risk of harm are, for example, likely to understate the value of actions to bring this about. Differences in valuations resulting from different measures are illustrated, and the criteria for the choice between measures of the value of positive and negative changes in risk are demonstrated with results from a new risk study in China.

Journal

The Singapore Economic ReviewWorld Scientific Publishing Company

Published: Mar 1, 2013

Keywords: Gain and loss domains reference state willingness-to-pay willingness-to-accept value disparity

There are no references for this article.